Social Security “Reform”

Atrios is back after a few days R&R and he’s on fire about the upcoming proposed changes to Social Security and the tax code. All the pieces are good, but this is a point I particularly like:

As I’ve written before, my opposition to a forced savings plan [note to Democrats: “forced savings” has a nice ring to it, and is in fact what such a plan would be.] is largely due to the fact that it opens the door for Fund firms, one way or another, to loot the US Treasury and to loot these mandatory accounts. Conservative trolls like to write “Oh, but if you lose all your money it’s all your fault!” which, after I get a good laugh at how stupid they are, depresses the hell out of me. First, investments are not deterministic. They are risky. People who do well in the market like to believe they’re “smart investors.” Maybe they are. But, most of them just got lucky. Being a “smart investor” means that you know more than the market does, something which can’t exist if we believe the markets are efficient, as our conservative trolls usually do.

Emphasis added. And this is where the rubber meets the road:

Someone earning $40,000 per year is going to be putting just $800 per year into one of these accounts.

Mutual fund companies hate low-dollar accounts like this — they do not make money for the company. And thus, they are going to try to find ways of making these accounts more profitable, to the detriment of the account holders. Tacking on lots of fees is a possibility, although I suspect that the eventual legislation will cover that obvious loophole. A more likely one is a tactic the industry has already been indulging in — one much easier to abuse:

The Securities and Exchange Commission is investigating about a dozen brokerage firms – including Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Ameritrade, Charles Schwab and E*Trade Financial – on suspicion that they failed to secure the best available price for stocks they were trading for their customers, according to people who have been briefed on the inquiry.

At issue is the way the companies executed trades of Nasdaq-listed securities when the markets opened in the morning, a period of intense trading activity resulting from the backlog of orders since the market’s close the previous day.

After examining trading data from the last four years, the investigation found evidence that trades were often processed in ways that favored the firms over their clients, these people said.

Securing the best price is one of the industry’s critical obligations to investors. If the investigators’ suspicions are confirmed, these practices are not likely to add up to significant costs for individual investors – the difference would be pennies a share traded – but in total they could represent substantial amounts of money for the brokers.

Frankly, I find the whole thing somewhat academic, because I’m one of those who thinks that the odds are good the entire Social Security system will not exist when it comes time for me to retire. That said, this all sounds to me like a good way to hasten the liklihood of it happening.

Right and Wrong

Michael Kinsley gets it mostly – but not completely – right today (by way of Washington Monthly, since I don’t have a login at the LA Times):

It’s true that people on my side of the divide want to live in a society where women are free to choose and where gay relationships have civil equality with straight ones. And you want to live in a society where the opposite is true. These are some of those conflicting values everyone is talking about. But at least my values…don’t involve any direct imposition on you. We don’t want to force you to have an abortion or to marry someone of the same sex, whereas you do want to close out those possibilities for us. Which is more arrogant?

We on my side of the great divide don’t, for the most part, believe that our values are direct orders from God. We don’t claim that they are immutable and beyond argument. We are, if anything, crippled by reason and open-mindedness, by a desire to persuade rather than insist. Which philosophy is more elitist? Which is more contemptuous of people who disagree?

I find the first paragraph much more persuasive than the second. A quick look around the left-leaning side of the web this last week shows an awful lot of contempt and close-minded prejudice to people on that side of the divide, at least in some circles. Some of it was just post-election angst venting, but some is more deep-seated than that.

And when it comes to science, it’s harder to say that folks on this side of the divide don’t want to impose. We may feel that evolution, for example, is an obvious choice for what to teach in schools, but if your view is belief-based then I can see that mandating the teaching of evolution is a forcible imposition. Some of us may like to think that the Scopes trial settled this issue decades ago, but events in Kansas in 1999 and Wisconsin today are showing that this issue is by no means dead.

Ugh. So many issues, so may ways to alienate people. I just hope we can all find some sanity at the end of it.

UPDATE: Digby got in touch with his funny side today & came out with a good post on this issue as well.

Update #2 (6/29/06): Welcome, Volokh readers…..

We weren’t robbed this time.

So another four years of Smirky McChimp. This time there weren’t many reports of voter disenfranchisement. And unless it’s discovered that Diebold went and converted hundreds of thousands of votes from Democrat to Republican in the battleground states, then Bush had a leading margin and actually did win.

Rachel tells me that Karl Rove’s plan of getting the evangelical Christians out to vote this time was what turned the trick, by putting a ban on gay marriages on the ballot in all of the major battleground states. “Oh, hey, while I’m here to vote against those sinners from being happy, I might as well vote for W.” Why is it that people who vote for things like bans on gay marriage are not happy unless they’re making everyone else miserable? Banning gay marriage isn’t going to make them stop having gay sex, morons. When are these puritanical zealots going to let people live their own lives? Probably never.

Based on voter turnout, and the difference of the popular vote in the millions, I have come to the conclusion that the majority of Americans are fucking morons. Fat, lazy, stupid and willfully ignorant. What the hell happened to the concerned youth voter turnout? You kids really screwed up this time. I hope you like getting drafted for a war you don

Long, Sad Night…..

As much as it pains me to say it, it looks like Karl Rove was right with the rumored 4,000,000 right wing voters who sat on their hands last time, because as of this writing Bush has turned around a a 500,000 popular vote loss in 2000 to a 3,000,000 popular vote win in 2004.

How it happened despite all the dissatisfaction with the war, the economy, etc, I really don’t know. I’m sure the soul searching will being in earnest once the hangovers wear off. Perosnally, I’m too depressed to drink.

All I know is, it’s going to be a long 4 years.